{"id":2830,"date":"2024-08-09T17:01:46","date_gmt":"2024-08-09T07:01:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ecam.org.au\/?p=2830"},"modified":"2024-08-09T17:12:25","modified_gmt":"2024-08-09T07:12:25","slug":"nuclear-really-growing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ecam.org.au\/index.php\/2024\/08\/09\/nuclear-really-growing\/","title":{"rendered":"Where is nuclear really growing?"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"2830\" class=\"elementor elementor-2830\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-616d61a e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"616d61a\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-0a9b17e elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"0a9b17e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Seeing as it is a topic that is unlikely to go away soon, I was curious to know what the state of the global nuclear industry looks like, where are new nuclear reactors being built? Here are two nuclear energy stories using\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/visualizingenergy.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">visualizingenergy.org<\/a>\u00a0from Boston University.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f2e4d8d elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"f2e4d8d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h5 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Global history of nuclear reactors - 1951 to 2022<\/h5>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7071532 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"7071532\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>The first tells a story about the history of the nuclear energy industry from 1<span style=\"font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: inherit; font-variant-caps: inherit; font-weight: inherit; color: var( --e-global-color-text ); text-align: var(--text-align); background-color: var(--theme-palette-color-7); letter-spacing: var(--theme-letter-spacing); text-transform: var(--theme-text-transform);\">951 to 2022.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"text-align: var(--text-align); background-color: var(--theme-palette-color-7);\">\u00a0Over this period 626 experimental, research, demonstration, and commercial reactors have been made operational This<\/span><span style=\"background-color: var(--theme-palette-color-7); color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: inherit; font-variant-caps: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: var(--theme-letter-spacing); text-align: var(--text-align); text-transform: var(--theme-text-transform);\">\u00a0times series chart shows the addition of reactors year be year, s<\/span><span style=\"background-color: var(--theme-palette-color-7); color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: inherit; font-variant-caps: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: var(--theme-letter-spacing); text-align: var(--text-align); text-transform: var(--theme-text-transform);\">haded by global region.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"background-color: var(--theme-palette-color-7); color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: inherit; font-variant-caps: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: var(--theme-letter-spacing); text-align: var(--text-align); text-transform: var(--theme-text-transform);\">You can\u00a0 read from the chart that<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1c00d6d elementor-icon-list--layout-traditional elementor-list-item-link-full_width elementor-widget elementor-widget-icon-list\" data-id=\"1c00d6d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"icon-list.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul class=\"elementor-icon-list-items\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"elementor-icon-list-item\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-fas-globe-americas\" viewBox=\"0 0 496 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M248 8C111.03 8 0 119.03 0 256s111.03 248 248 248 248-111.03 248-248S384.97 8 248 8zm82.29 357.6c-3.9 3.88-7.99 7.95-11.31 11.28-2.99 3-5.1 6.7-6.17 10.71-1.51 5.66-2.73 11.38-4.77 16.87l-17.39 46.85c-13.76 3-28 4.69-42.65 4.69v-27.38c1.69-12.62-7.64-36.26-22.63-51.25-6-6-9.37-14.14-9.37-22.63v-32.01c0-11.64-6.27-22.34-16.46-27.97-14.37-7.95-34.81-19.06-48.81-26.11-11.48-5.78-22.1-13.14-31.65-21.75l-.8-.72a114.792 114.792 0 0 1-18.06-20.74c-9.38-13.77-24.66-36.42-34.59-51.14 20.47-45.5 57.36-82.04 103.2-101.89l24.01 12.01C203.48 89.74 216 82.01 216 70.11v-11.3c7.99-1.29 16.12-2.11 24.39-2.42l28.3 28.3c6.25 6.25 6.25 16.38 0 22.63L264 112l-10.34 10.34c-3.12 3.12-3.12 8.19 0 11.31l4.69 4.69c3.12 3.12 3.12 8.19 0 11.31l-8 8a8.008 8.008 0 0 1-5.66 2.34h-8.99c-2.08 0-4.08.81-5.58 2.27l-9.92 9.65a8.008 8.008 0 0 0-1.58 9.31l15.59 31.19c2.66 5.32-1.21 11.58-7.15 11.58h-5.64c-1.93 0-3.79-.7-5.24-1.96l-9.28-8.06a16.017 16.017 0 0 0-15.55-3.1l-31.17 10.39a11.95 11.95 0 0 0-8.17 11.34c0 4.53 2.56 8.66 6.61 10.69l11.08 5.54c9.41 4.71 19.79 7.16 30.31 7.16s22.59 27.29 32 32h66.75c8.49 0 16.62 3.37 22.63 9.37l13.69 13.69a30.503 30.503 0 0 1 8.93 21.57 46.536 46.536 0 0 1-13.72 32.98zM417 274.25c-5.79-1.45-10.84-5-14.15-9.97l-17.98-26.97a23.97 23.97 0 0 1 0-26.62l19.59-29.38c2.32-3.47 5.5-6.29 9.24-8.15l12.98-6.49C440.2 193.59 448 223.87 448 256c0 8.67-.74 17.16-1.82 25.54L417 274.25z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-text\">The peak of the industry constructing new nuclear reactors was in the 1970s-1980s.<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"elementor-icon-list-item\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-fas-globe-asia\" viewBox=\"0 0 496 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M248 8C111.03 8 0 119.03 0 256s111.03 248 248 248 248-111.03 248-248S384.97 8 248 8zm-11.34 240.23c-2.89 4.82-8.1 7.77-13.72 7.77h-.31c-4.24 0-8.31 1.69-11.31 4.69l-5.66 5.66c-3.12 3.12-3.12 8.19 0 11.31l5.66 5.66c3 3 4.69 7.07 4.69 11.31V304c0 8.84-7.16 16-16 16h-6.11c-6.06 0-11.6-3.42-14.31-8.85l-22.62-45.23c-2.44-4.88-8.95-5.94-12.81-2.08l-19.47 19.46c-3 3-7.07 4.69-11.31 4.69H50.81C49.12 277.55 48 266.92 48 256c0-110.28 89.72-200 200-200 21.51 0 42.2 3.51 61.63 9.82l-50.16 38.53c-5.11 3.41-4.63 11.06.86 13.81l10.83 5.41c5.42 2.71 8.84 8.25 8.84 14.31V216c0 4.42-3.58 8-8 8h-3.06c-3.03 0-5.8-1.71-7.15-4.42-1.56-3.12-5.96-3.29-7.76-.3l-17.37 28.95zM408 358.43c0 4.24-1.69 8.31-4.69 11.31l-9.57 9.57c-3 3-7.07 4.69-11.31 4.69h-15.16c-4.24 0-8.31-1.69-11.31-4.69l-13.01-13.01a26.767 26.767 0 0 0-25.42-7.04l-21.27 5.32c-1.27.32-2.57.48-3.88.48h-10.34c-4.24 0-8.31-1.69-11.31-4.69l-11.91-11.91a8.008 8.008 0 0 1-2.34-5.66v-10.2c0-3.27 1.99-6.21 5.03-7.43l39.34-15.74c1.98-.79 3.86-1.82 5.59-3.05l23.71-16.89a7.978 7.978 0 0 1 4.64-1.48h12.09c3.23 0 6.15 1.94 7.39 4.93l5.35 12.85a4 4 0 0 0 3.69 2.46h3.8c1.78 0 3.35-1.18 3.84-2.88l4.2-14.47c.5-1.71 2.06-2.88 3.84-2.88h6.06c2.21 0 4 1.79 4 4v12.93c0 2.12.84 4.16 2.34 5.66l11.91 11.91c3 3 4.69 7.07 4.69 11.31v24.6z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-text\">The last 2 decades has been dominated by Asia - read India and China.<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/ul>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f983931 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"f983931\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/visualizingenergy.org\/explore-the-world-history-of-nuclear-reactors-1951-2022\/\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"709\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ecam.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/nuclearhistory.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-2832\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ecam.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/nuclearhistory.png 1000w, https:\/\/www.ecam.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/nuclearhistory-300x213.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ecam.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/nuclearhistory-768x545.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6f40660 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"6f40660\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-74da430 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"74da430\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-097838a elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"097838a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h5 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">How old are reactors in the east and west<\/h5>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-91e9e6a elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"91e9e6a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>The second chart looks at the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/visualizingenergy.org\/age-of-nuclear-reactor-fleets-by-country\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">average age<\/a>\u00a0of operating reactors (so it ignores the age of those that have retired) for all countries that have nuclear energy.\u00a0\u00a0<span style=\"font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: inherit; font-variant-caps: inherit; font-weight: inherit; color: var( --e-global-color-text ); text-align: var(--text-align); background-color: var(--theme-palette-color-7); letter-spacing: var(--theme-letter-spacing); text-transform: var(--theme-text-transform);\">You can pick up to 6 countries, so below I&#8217;ve selected an east\/west combo with UK, USA, France and Germany compared with\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight ); text-align: var(--text-align); background-color: var(--theme-palette-color-7); font-size: var(--theme-font-size); font-style: var(--theme-font-style, inherit); font-variant-ligatures: inherit; font-variant-caps: inherit; letter-spacing: var(--theme-letter-spacing); text-transform: var(--theme-text-transform);\">India\/China. The natural shape of the line\u00a0 as a straight inclines (age increasing each year)\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight ); text-align: var(--text-align); background-color: var(--theme-palette-color-7); font-size: var(--theme-font-size); font-style: var(--theme-font-style, inherit); font-variant-ligatures: inherit; font-variant-caps: inherit; letter-spacing: var(--theme-letter-spacing); text-transform: var(--theme-text-transform);\">with\u00a0 new commissions and retirements that show up as notches that reduce the average age.<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-597b46e elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"597b46e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/visualizingenergy.org\/age-of-nuclear-reactor-fleets-by-country\/\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"484\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ecam.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/age-1-1024x484.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-2834\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ecam.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/age-1-1024x484.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.ecam.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/age-1-300x142.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ecam.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/age-1-768x363.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ecam.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/age-1.png 1330w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ae35231 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"ae35231\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Consistent with the time series history above, the average age of reactors in USA starts at one in 1952 and oscillates around 4-5 through the 1960s and 1970s before beginning to creep up towards 10 and by 1990 starting the straight line that indicates no new reactors. The average age of operating nuclear reactors in USA in 2022 was 41 years.<\/p><p>The UK, France and Germany each follow similar trajectories, initial periods of building nuclear capacity to saturation, then increasing average age,\u00a0 generally from 1980, with occasional new commissions.<\/p><p>Meanwhile India\/China have been building reactors for over 20 years, in India&#8217;s case since since 1980s, and are continuing to add new reactors.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-bd2e14a elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"bd2e14a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h5 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">What does this mean for nuclear industry in Australia?<\/h5>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-be51817 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"be51817\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: inherit; font-variant-caps: inherit; font-weight: inherit; color: var( --e-global-color-text ); text-align: var(--text-align); background-color: var(--theme-palette-color-7); letter-spacing: var(--theme-letter-spacing); text-transform: var(--theme-text-transform);\">Overlooking the need to establish nuclear regulatory capability, are we going to source nuclear technology from India or China, especially China that have commissioned reactors recently? Are we going to source reactors from United States or France that have not substantially added nuclear capacity in 20 years? (Which is not to say they have not at all.)\u00a0 And before you say Japan, its profile is not dissimilar to France, <a href=\"https:\/\/visualizingenergy.org\/age-of-nuclear-reactor-fleets-by-country\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">check it out yourself<\/a>, so we&#8217;ll bundle them together.<\/span><\/p><p>Neither is without significant risk. And risk adds cost and delay. Not a good prospect for nuclear in Australia.<span style=\"font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: inherit; font-variant-caps: inherit; font-weight: inherit; color: var( --e-global-color-text ); text-align: var(--text-align); background-color: var(--theme-palette-color-7); letter-spacing: var(--theme-letter-spacing); text-transform: var(--theme-text-transform);\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Seeing as it is a topic that is unlikely to go away soon, I was curious to know what the state of the global nuclear industry looks like, where are new nuclear reactors being built? Here are two nuclear energy stories using\u00a0visualizingenergy.org\u00a0from Boston University. Global history of nuclear reactors &#8211; 1951 to 2022 The first [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2830","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-green-energy"],"blocksy_meta":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ecam.org.au\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2830","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ecam.org.au\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ecam.org.au\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ecam.org.au\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ecam.org.au\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2830"}],"version-history":[{"count":19,"href":"https:\/\/www.ecam.org.au\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2830\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2852,"href":"https:\/\/www.ecam.org.au\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2830\/revisions\/2852"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ecam.org.au\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2830"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ecam.org.au\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2830"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ecam.org.au\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2830"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}